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2014 NFL Preview: Can Cam Newton Overtake Rob Ryan In The NFC South?
FiveThirtyEight is running a series of eight NFL previews, one division at a time, to highlight the numbers that may influence each team’s season. America’s favorite weekly soap opera is about to...
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Measuring NFL Teams’ Pass-Happiness Isn’t As Straightforward As It Seems
NFL coaches can be obsessed with their teams’ run-pass balances. (In fact, each staff has an assistant coach who tracks the ratio of run plays to pass plays during a game.) Seattle Seahawks coach Pete...
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Atlanta’s Dismantling Of Tampa Was The Sixth-Most Dominant In NFL History
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have had some bad moments over the years, but their 56-14 loss to the Atlanta Falcons on Thursday night might be the franchise’s lowest point.The Bucs gave up 35 points to the...
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Week 15 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds
Remember the Seattle Seahawks? For all 137.6 decibels of noise at CenturyLink Field, they’ve been relatively quiet this year. The Seahawks have been one of the most consistent teams in the NFL, rarely...
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NFL Week 16 Playoff Implications: When Things Start To Shake Out
The Arizona Cardinals continue to get no respect. Despite an NFC best 11-3 record, Las Vegas has them as eight-point underdogs, at home, against the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday. Similarly, our...
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NFL Week 17 Playoff Implications: Someone Has To Win The NFC South
With just one week remaining in the NFL regular season, the playoff implications are fairly straightforward, and running thousands of simulations of Week 17 outcomes may seem like computational...
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Week 17 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds: Special Seahawks Edition
The Seattle Seahawks began the season ranked No. 1 in FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Elo ratings. After flirting with the top position for the past two weeks, they reclaimed it on Sunday after crushing the...
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Skeptical Football: The NFC South Isn’t The Worst Division In NFL History
Now that the dust has settled on the penultimate week of the NFL season, 10 teams have clinched playoff spots and 16 more have been eliminated.The Philadelphia Eagles are in the latter column. Back in...
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There’s Not Much Evidence A New Coach Will Help The Jets, 49ers Or Falcons
It’s Black Monday — the day after the NFL’s regular season concludes — when 20 to 25 percent of teams (usually of the non-playoff-bound variety) have historically begun their offseason by firing (or...
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2015 NFL Preview: How The Salary Cap Is Shaping The Falcons, Saints, Panthers...
In preparation for the 2015 NFL season, FiveThirtyEight is running a series of eight division previews, each highlighting the numbers that may influence a team’s performance (including projections and...
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The Falcons Might Be For Real
Three weeks into the 2015 season, the NFL’s undefeated club isn’t especially surprising: Five of its seven members1 finished with double-digit wins last season, and six qualified for the playoffs. The...
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The Panthers Are Alone Atop The NFC South
To go with our 2016 NFL predictions, FiveThirtyEight is previewing each division. The NFL is back, and we’re booting up our Elo ratings again in preparation for the 2016 season. For those new to Elo,...
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Are The Falcons Going To Screw This Up Again?
After handing the defending Super Bowl champion Denver Broncos their first loss of the season on Sunday, the Atlanta Falcons are 4-1 and rising quickly in our NFL Elo power ratings. They began the...
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Matt Ryan Is Our Midseason MVP
Now that each team has played at least half its games in the 2016 NFL regular season, we’ve got ourselves an excuse to look at who might take home the major year-end awards if they were handed out...
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How The Atlanta Falcons Offense Went From Good To Great
The Atlanta Falcons had the NFL’s most explosive offense this season, racking up yards and points with efficiency and balance. As a result, the Falcons are the NFC’s No. 2 seed in the playoffs,...
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The Seahawks Don’t Stand A Chance Unless Russell Wilson Can Keep Up With Matt...
The most anticipated matchup of the divisional round of the NFL playoffs might be the Atlanta Falcons’ No. 1 scoring offense against the Seattle Seahawks’ No. 3 scoring defense. But the game between...
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NFL Conference Championship Previews: Are Matt Ryan And Le’Veon Bell For Real?
The penultimate round of the NFL playoffs is imminent, and the matchups are phenomenal – especially if you like star quarterbacks. The four starting passers this weekend have a combined seven Super...
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The Weaknesses Of The Four Remaining NFL Playoffs Teams
The NFL’s conference championship weekend is finally here. In the video above, FiveThirtyEight’s Neil Paine breaks down the two matchups.
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Matt Ryan Is No Fluke
Going into Sunday’s NFC championship, the Atlanta Falcons — and, by extension, their MVP front-runner QB Matt Ryan — were losing the battle for media attention to Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay...
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Wait, Are The 76ers Good Now?
Subscribe: iTunes | ESPN App | Download | RSS | New to podcasts? Welcome to the latest episode of Hot Takedown, FiveThirtyEight’s sports podcast. On this week’s show (Jan. 24, 2017), we chat about...
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